In
2013, it was estimated by scientists that there could be as many as
40 billion planets orbiting red dwarves and stars like our own sun, within the Milky Way alone. These aren't any old planets though, the
amount of all planets orbiting stars in our galaxy would be much
greater if that were the case. No, there are 40 billion Earth-sized
planets, which are in the
habitable zones of
their stars – the Goldilocks zone, where the planet is at just the right distance from its star to not be too hot, nor too cold. These kind of planets are ideal for life as we know it.
The Statistics
Now,
let us, for a moment, imagine the universe - or try to, our brains cannot
comprehend the sheer scale. Astronomers have estimated
the amount of galaxies in the observable universe, and the number has
come to an incredible 100 billion. Assuming that each one of these
100 billion galaxies has a similar amount of habitable planets as the
Milky Way, then we can assume that there's a heck of a lot of
possibly habitable worlds in the observable universe. But of course,
the universe isn't limited to what we can observe. Frankly, we have
no idea how big the universe is - some even believe that it could be
endless. Other
possibilities are that it is part of an immense multiverse, or that
the universe comes to an abrupt end, and there is nothing beyond the
edges. Whatever the answer, the universe is big.
Really big. We can't even imagine its size. So if we take the
billions of potentially habitable worlds in the observable universe,
then multiply that number by millions, billions, or more, then we end
up with the total amount of Earth-like worlds in the entire universe.
Unless, of course, the universe is infinite or part of an infinite
multiverse, in which case then the amount of Earth lookalikes and
potential homes for life is also infinite.
What will aliens be like?
As
you can see, there are many planets in the universe which have the
potential for being home to life. But why limit ourselves to
Earth-sized planets? We are blinkered by our limited knowledge of
extraterrestrial life and by our imagination. Life does not
necessarily have to exist on an Earth-sized world, or even on a
planet at all: what about moons, or indeed even stranger places . .
.? One might argue that in the immense, possibly infinite size of the
universe, nothing is too far-fetched.
However,
we can make educated guesses at what is likely and what isn't. We can
guess that life everywhere would follow the basic laws of evolution,
and therefore that certain features, such as eyes, mouths, etc, will
be good things for an alien to have.
Do they even exist at all?
Of
course, some might argue that there might be no
aliens out there, that the universe is a lonely place, and that we
are something special. Indeed, humans like to think of themselves as unique, and to a lesser extent, that Earth is to. It makes sense
that humans might instinctively want for there to be no other life in
the universe, because that makes humans and Earth special, and
perhaps it also dulls the subconscious fear of other sapient
lifeforms. Some argue that the likelyhood of molecules coming together
to create lifeforms on more than one planet is simply an
impossibility. To balance this out, let us think again of the sheer
scale of the Milky Way, of the universe, of what may be beyond, other
universes, infinity, whatever train of thought you prefer. I personally think that given the sheer scale that we
are talking about here, life will have evolved on many planets.
Anything else is, to me, impossible.
So,
yes, I think that there is life out there, and that a more worth while train of thought is not 'are aliens real?', but questions about extraterrestrial life, assuming it is real. Where can we find it? What will it look like? What will it be
made of? Will it be like us or something completely and utterly
alien?
This is what I shall explore in upcoming posts.
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